The Risk-Reward Tradeoff in Futures and Options

The Risk-Reward Tradeoff in Futures and Options

Futures and options are both derivative contracts, financial instruments that derive their value from the value of another asset, called the underlying asset. This underlying asset can be a stock, bond, commodity, currency, or even another derivative contract. The value of a futures or options contract fluctuates based on expectations of future price movements of the underlying asset. However, futures and options differ in how they give investors exposure to the underlying asset and the level of obligation they carry.

What are Derivatives?

Derivatives are essentially financial contracts that derive their value from the performance of another asset, like a stock, bond, commodity, currency, or even another derivative.  Think of them like financial hybrids - they are complex instruments whose value is linked to something else.  This underlying asset can be something you're familiar with, like a stock in a company you follow, or something more abstract, like a future interest rate.  The derivative contract itself is an agreement between two parties that specifies the terms of the trade, including the underlying asset, the price, the date, and the obligation of each party.

Here's a breakdown of what derivatives are and how they work

  • Underlying Asset: This is the financial instrument or asset that the derivative contract is based on. For example, a stock option contract would have a specific stock as the underlying asset.
  • Contract Terms: These include details like the price, date, and obligation of the derivative contract.
  • Payoff: The profit or loss you get when the contract expires or you close it out.  The payoff depends on the movement of the underlying asset's price.

Types of Derivatives

There are four main types of derivatives contracts:

  1. Futures Contracts 

These are agreements between two parties to buy or sell a specific asset at a predetermined price on a specific future date.  Both parties are obligated to fulfil the contract upon expiry.  Futures are commonly used for hedging, where investors or businesses aim to protect themselves from price fluctuations in the underlying asset.

  1. Forward Contracts

Similar to futures contracts, forwards are customized agreements to buy or sell an asset at a certain price on a future date. However, forwards are not standardized and traded on exchanges like futures contracts. They are typically private agreements between two counterparties.

  1. Options Contracts

These grant the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy (call option) or sell (put option) the underlying asset at a predetermined price by a specific expiry date.  Options offer flexibility and are used for various purposes, including speculation on price movements, generating income (selling options), or creating more complex investment strategies.  The buyer of an option pays a premium for this right, which limits the potential for profit but also caps the risk.

  1. Swaps 

These are customized agreements between two parties to exchange cash flows based on different underlying financial instruments.  For example, an interest rate swap might involve exchanging fixed interest payments for variable interest payments. Swaps are often used for managing interest rate risk or speculating on interest rate movements.

Futures

Futures contracts are a type of derivative contract that obligates both parties involved to buy or sell a specific underlying asset at a predetermined price on a specific future date. They function like binding agreements to complete a trade at a set price in the future, regardless of the market price at that time.

Here's a deeper dive into the world of futures trading

Underlying Assets:

Futures contracts can be based on various assets, including

    • Commodities: Oil, gold, wheat, corn, etc.
    • Financial Instruments: Stock indices, currencies, interest rates, etc.
    • Single Stocks: Less common, but some exchanges offer futures contracts on specific stocks.

Standardization

Unlike forwards (another type of derivative contract) which are customized agreements, futures contracts are standardized. This means the contract details like quantity, quality, and delivery location are predefined for each type of futures contract. Standardization allows for smoother trading on futures exchanges, which are regulated marketplaces specifically designed for futures trading.

Margin

Margin is a key concept in futures trading. It is a deposit required from both the buyer and seller, typically a percentage of the total contract value.  This deposit acts as a good faith effort from both parties and helps to manage risk.

Marking to Market

Futures contracts are marked to market daily. This means that any unrealized gains or losses are settled in cash each day, ensuring all parties maintain their margin requirements.

The Multiple Uses of Futures Contracts

There are two primary purposes for using futures contracts

  • Hedging:  This is the most common use of futures contracts. Businesses and investors can use futures to protect themselves from price fluctuations in the underlying asset. For example, an airline company might buy oil futures contracts to lock in a fixed price for future fuel purchases, protecting themselves from potential price increases.
  • Speculation:  Futures contracts can be used to speculate on the future price movements of the underlying asset. If you believe the price will go up, you can buy a futures contract, and if it goes down, you can sell a futures contract (short selling).  While futures offer the potential for higher profits compared to options (another derivative), they also carry significantly higher risk.

Risks of Futures Trading

  • High Risk: Futures contracts are leveraged instruments, which can amplify losses if the market moves against you. Unlike options, where your loss is limited to the premium paid, losses in futures contracts can be much larger.
  • Margin Requirements: If the market moves against you and your account falls below the minimum margin requirement, you may receive a margin call, forcing you to deposit additional funds or sell your position to meet the requirement.
  • Complexity: Futures trading can be complex and requires a good understanding of the markets and risk management strategies.

Options

Options trading involves contracts that grant the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy (call option) or sell (put option) a specific underlying asset at a predetermined price (strike price) by a certain expiry date. Unlike futures contracts (which obligate both parties to buy or sell), options offer flexibility and are used for various purposes.

Here's a deeper dive into options trading

Types of Options

  • Call Options: Give the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price by the expiry date. You would typically purchase a call option if you believe the price of the underlying asset will increase.
  • Put Options: Give the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price by the expiry date. You would typically purchase a put option if you believe the price of the underlying asset will decrease, or if you want to hedge other holdings.

Option Contract Details

  • Underlying Asset: This can be a stock, ETF, bond, commodity, or even another option (complex options strategies).
  • Strike Price: The predetermined price at which you can buy (call) or sell (put) the underlying asset.
  • Expiry Date: The date by which the option contract must be exercised  or expires and becomes worthless.
  • Premium: The cost of buying an option contract. The premium is paid upfront by the buyer to the option seller.

The Multiple Uses of Options Trading

  • Speculation: Options can be used to speculate on the future price movements of the underlying asset. This can be a more targeted and potentially less risky strategy compared to directly buying or selling the underlying asset.
  • Income Generation (Selling Options): By selling options contracts, you collect the premium as income. However, options sellers have an obligation to buy or sell the underlying asset if the option is exercised.
  • Hedging: Options can be used to hedge existing holdings or portfolios against potential price declines. For example, buying a put option on a stock you already own can provide downside protection.
  • Creating Complex Strategies: Options can be combined in various ways to create more complex strategies that can tailor your risk/reward profile and investment goals. However, these strategies can be intricate and require a strong understanding of options trading.

Risks of Options Trading

  • Time Decay (Theta): The value of an option contract typically deteriorates over time as it gets closer to expiry. This is known as time decay or theta.
  • Volatility Risk: Option prices are sensitive to the volatility of the underlying asset. If volatility is lower than expected, options can lose value quickly.
  • Complexity: Options trading can be complex, especially when using advanced strategies. It's crucial to understand the risks involved before diving in.

Difference between Futures & Options

Features

Futures

Options

Obligation

Both parties are obligated to buy/sell at expiry

Buyer has the right, but not the obligation, to buy/sell by expiry

Contract Type

Lock contract

Option contract

Risk

Higher risk

Limited Risk (capped by premium paid)

Profit Potential

Higher potential profit

Limited profit potential

Use cases

Hedging, Speculation

Speculation, Income Generation (selling options), Hedging Strategies, Complex Strategies

Price impact

Futures prices directly impact underlying asset price

Options prices influence underlying asset price to a lesser extent

Exercise

Automatic at expiry

Buyer decides to exercise by expiry or option expires worthless

Cost

Margin required (percentage of contract value)

Premium paid upfront (typically lower than margin)

Flexibility

Less flexible (locked into contract)

More flexible (buyer can choose to exercise or not)

Time Decay

Not applicable

Time decay reduces option value over time